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Members commenced their discussion of the global economy by noting that business conditions in the manufacturing sectors in many economies had remained subdued. They discussed the escalation of the US–China trade and technology disputes, which had intensified the downside risks to the global outlook. By contrast, conditions in more domestically focused sectors had generally continued to be resilient, supported by ongoing strength in labour markets. Employment growth had remained robust in the major advanced economies, although it had eased a little in some economies in recent months, and unemployment rates had remained low. Although wages growth had picked up, year-ended inflation had remained below target in the major advanced economies. Members noted that inflation in the United States had increased in recent months. The main development over the previous month had been the escalation of the US–China trade and technology disputes. The United States had announced higher tariffs on most imports from China, including consumer goods that had not previously been subject to the tariff increases, to take effect over the remainder of 2019. Members noted that recent and prospective increases in tariffs could increase consumer price inflation in the United States by between ¼ and ½ percentage point over the following few years, based on a range of published estimates. In response to the US announcements, China had suspended purchases of US agricultural products and had announced plans to inc tweet at 9:31pm: #RBA says the upward trend in wage growth appears to have stalled and risks to the global outlook continue to be tilted to the downside - BBG #AUD #AustralianDollar tweet at 9:33pm: RBA Sept Minutes: Board Would Consider Further Policy Easing If Needed To Support Growth, Inflation Targets tweet at 9:35pm: RBA Sept Minutes: Reasonable To Expect Extended Period Of Low Interest Rates To Achieve Employment, Inflation Goals
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